PAIR TRADE: 10% each side
Long XLU @ $74.25
Short XLY @ $189.36
My total positioning rules should be clear by now: when volatility spikes, I reduce my gross exposure. When it falls, I add gross.
With the VIX below 20 and holding, it's a day to build up some gross exposure.
My market view remains that we'll chop or trend downward from here in equities and rates will be downward, especially at the long-end as the Fed raises shorter-term rates into a sensitive economy.
That said, buying utilities gives me rate sensitivity. And shorting consumer discretionary benefits if/as the economy slows. So this trade is in-line with my broad view.
Utilities are cheap. If rates keep rising, the downward pressure on allowed returns will ease. If rates fall, the somewhat fixed-income stream of income will be worth more. But I'm a fanboy...
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